OTM Investment Club – Technical Charts
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Conservative. Smart. Investing.
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Overall S&P model still suggests BUY for all intervals. But as with last week (see last week’s posting), the upside/downside ratio is still not ripe for new money to enter the market in general.
A short, to-the-point article from the Wall Street Journal about the 5 things to do to assure adequate income at retirement. Good read.
1. Delay Social Security.
Suppose you retire at age 65, at which point you’re eligible for $20,000 a year in Social Security retirement benefits. If you put off benefits until age 70, you would miss out on five years of benefits worth $100,000. In the meantime, you’d likely have to cover your living expenses entirely out of savings.
Short, Medium and Long term indicators for the S&P 500 are all favorable. The index itself is in the middle of an up channel.
Currently the S&P is at 2003. The channel ranges from 1925 to 2050. So there are 47 points above and 78 points below the current index value in the channel. I would prefer a 2:1 ratio of upside potential to downside potential. At a ratio of 47:78 we do not have that 2:1 target. So I would wait for a slight pullback to put any additional monies into equity index funds or ETFs.
Attached are the technical charts for the overall market as well as the various Club holdings as of August 23, 2014. As long as the S&P is doing well we are unlikely to see any broad breakdown in our portfolio. Briefly:
I am a member of the TSAASF, and they are now offering a $99 program that provides an online-based overview of technical investing as well as a certificate. This is a bargain, and would help you to develop a technical base to your fundamental analysis. The invitation follows:
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