Mark Bates

See previous post from Mike Bates.  I opened up a new post so that I could post the graphic below — otherwise this would have been a comment on Mike’s observation.

MUR technically looks like it has some resistance at $59, and again at $55.  Given its high three year correlation to the market, and large beta of 1.8, a drop below 58 is not unlikely.  A drop below $57 would result in a Club loss.  I suspect that at least temporarily we might see a drop below $57, but it is the $55 level that would be the indicator.  If this stock drops below $55 it also likely means that the S&P has dropped below its long term support trendline.  Technical indicators right now mirror that of the S&P — short term SELL but holds for Intermediate and Long term.  The $55 line is the material one here. read more

The S&P dropped 2.7% this past week to end at 1925, but technically this was a needed correction and nothing more.  A continued drop past 1905 will likely indicate a medium term correction, and a continued drop past 1841 will indicate significant long term changes.  The technical model is still indicates that Medium and Long term periods are fine. read more