OTM Market Update December 27
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Conservative. Smart. Investing.
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I have enhanced the OTM Technical Model to provide a current view of the overall market and an individual security’s correlation to that market. This can be useful in forecasting turning points in the market.
As the OnTheMark 4X KBA Model (Technical combined with Value based Fundamentals like Intrinsic Value) progresses, here is a point in time analysis of the current holdings presuming the model is applied to all stocks in the US Equity market. I am still developing an ability to backtest using fundamental data (point in time Intrinsic value), so this analysis is based on what is going on right now in the model.
As noted last week, the prior week’s adjustment was due, and the market continued to rise in line with the broader technical models.
The very small change in the Asset Allocation model does not warrant action.
The S&P fell last week but did not violate the trailing chandelier stop. It pays to be diversified — Long Bonds rose 4.3% last week. For the long term investor, the Weekly S&P should give you some perspective. This past week’s adjustment was due, and does not in and of itself constitute a reverse in the trend. The technical models remain positive.
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Whether you do your own taxes the old fashioned way (paper), use TurboTax, or rely on a competent CPA like Bill Lupone, the attached link to the tax guide from the American Association of Independent Investors is a must read. This is a guide for the 2014-2015 tax season. Not terribly long but it covers the significant bases.
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Linda volunteered to present a potential investment, but she is currently researching other hot investment opportunities – real estate in Florida.
Therefore, I picked one of the most recent additions from the 4x algorithm that Mark will be presenting – ONNN. The summary of my recommendation is attached along with other reports for paid analysts for your review and consideration.