OTM Market Update – More of the Same

Prior Week Market Performance:

  • The S&P large caps gained 2.6% last week to 2108.06.
  • The Russell 2000 small caps gained 2.8% last week to 1266.37.
  • Long Bonds (TLT) gained 3.8% last week to 131.51.
  • Asset Allocation Model: unchanged.  Stocks (52.5%); Bonds (27.5%); Discretionary (20%)

 Last Commentary (two weeks ago):  The Asset Allocation model remains unchanged for long term investors.  IF we were to get further deterioration then it would be time to take a different tack.  We get closer to a shift from long bonds, but not yet.  Not yet.  Be patient.

Current Technical Model Indicators (Short, Med, Long periods):

  • Large Cap S&P 500 – BUY, BUY, BUY
  • Mid  Caps – BUY, BUY, BUY
  • Small Caps – BUY, BUY, BUY
  • Micro Caps – BUY, BUY, BUY
  • Long Bonds – BUY, BUY, BUY

 This Week’s Commentary:  Technicals for all of the various asset classes except for Gold remain bullish and have not deteriorated over the past two weeks.  The Russell small caps have clearly risen above a 1220 resistance point, and that is a positive leading sign for the overall market.  Asset allocation continues bullish in favor of equities 52% to 28% for bonds.

This cannot go on forever, but for right now everyone is an investing expert.  As long as the Fed sets the table the market will eat.  For now.

03212015 asset alloc 03212015 TLT 03212015 GSPC

Leave a Comment